The following article, It’s Election Day, But the Fat Lady Isn’t Singing Yet, was first published on The Black Sphere.
Photo Credit: Michigan Advance
Shards of 2022
In the 2022 Midterm Election, the political soothsayers were predicting a huge ‘red wave’ was going to sweep over America akin to the 1994 Gingrich Revolution and the 2010 Tea Party Revolt. However, writing in a previous article, we made a different prediction that went against the conventional norm. While the predictable labeling of everything from a ‘traitor’ to a ‘RINO’ by unconventional neophytes transpired, in the end we were proven correct.
In the two years since, we watched as the current sitting president was publicly emasculated and summarily cordoned off into the political backrooms of DC power structure. He was shamefully replaced by a Vice President with more baggage than the checkout counter at LAX. For the first time in over a half-century, both the African American and Hispanic voting base are trending heavily in favor for the Republicans in the key battleground states heading into the final stretch of the 2024.
But the GOP shouldn’t be popping the champagne corks, or reserving the U-Haul vans from Mar-A-Lago to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue quite yet.
Lionesses About to Roar…Again
Nearly 75 million Americans have cast early ballots by end of GOTV weekend, with women (as a whole) leading the way on early turnout. The current US population stands at over 345 million with women overall comprising 50.4% of the overall population. Eighty-nine million women nationwide are registered to vote. This is the largest and most influential voting bloc.
The UK Guardian is reporting:
The dozens of women participating are, for the most part, Democrats supporting Kamala Harris’s bid, while their male partners are voting for Donald Trump.
A late October national poll from USA Today/Suffolk University found that women resoundingly back Harris over Trump, 53% to 36%, a “mirror image” of men’s support for Trump over Harris, 53% to 37%. A September poll from Quinnipiac University similarly found a 26-point gender gap. An unknown – but certainly sizable – number of women are seeing this gender gap in their own relationships.
Meanwhile, liberal TikTokers are weighing in to say they could never date or marry a Trump supporter, given the former president’s sexist remarks about women and his appointment of anti-abortion justices to the supreme court, which resulted in the 2022 reversal of Roe v Wade.
Hollywood Values Try Upending Middle America…Again!
In an effort to break women away from the sanity of their vows of faith and marriage, one-time A-lister actress Julia Roberts is helming a political spot for the Harris Campaign, which according to The Hill:
…encouraging women to break with their Trump-supporting partners at the ballot box is striking a nerve amid signs of a growing national gender gap in the high-stakes presidential race.
Vote Common Good, which encourages evangelical and Catholic voters to break from the GOP, aired an ad voiced by actress Julia Roberts reminding women “you can vote any way you want and no one will ever know” — prompting pushback from several prominent conservatives who criticized it for calling on wives to lie to their husbands.
Polls show a significant gap, with Vice President Harris winning over a large majority of female voters and former President Trump building up a huge advantage with male voters.
This difference would get attention in any presidential cycle, but it feels all the more important in the first presidential contest to take place since the fall of Roe v. Wade.
TRANSLATION: Defy God, the Sanctity of Family, and Sacred Honor, all for Abortion. However, the fact is that the Dobbs ruling never bans the procedure!
Does this divisive strategy work? The women’s vote propelled President Biden into the White House 4-years ago. Women of all ages, ethnicities, socioeconomic, and educational background turned out. But the biggest break was with the traditionally suburban female voters who broke from the traditional conservative trends.
Bloomberg observed in its post-2020 analysis:
Overall, Democrats gained the most in the suburbs, which shifted from majority Republican in 2016 to majority Democrat in 2020, according to a Bloomberg CityLab analysis of data as of Nov. 16 for some 2,822 counties, which make up nearly 90% of all U.S. counties. These prevalent American communities went for President-elect Joe Biden by 51.2%, compared to 47.2% for Hillary Clinton in 2016, based on a classification of the suburbs from the Centers for Disease Control’s (CDC) National Center for Health Statistics.
So, what does that mean for now? Current trends show Harris accumulating a statistical tie.
Fox News is quoting a ABC News/Ipsos poll is showing 74% of voters believe US is on wrong track. That’s 50% of Harris supporters and 98% of Trump supporters. Well, the blame for the direction of the country should fall squarely on the shoulders of Kamala Harris; but then 60% polled are also dissatisfied with Donald Trump as an alternative choice.
Modern XYZ Affairs
But within this story lies the outlier for 2024: The Dissatisfied American Youth Voter.
Forty-one percent of voters under age-30 are voting for Trump. In an earlier GenForward poll, 26% (1 out of 4) of African American men 18-40 and a whopping 44% of young Hispanic in the same age range said that they plan to support Trump.
Young men of all ages and ethnicities who have felt marginalized with increasing college and credit card debt, with a staggering/uneven job market. The hard-hit Millennials and rising GenZ could yearn back to the better pre-Covid financial times of 8-years ago. Thus might inclined to vote their wallets to get out of personal debt with the hope of gaining more stable economic footing.
However, the same poll shows young women all of all ethnicities maintain a solid disdain for Trump. Even younger white women are breaking for Harris 44%/40%. After 8-years, the Access Hollywood audio still hounds the Trump campaign mercilessly.
One thing is for certain, Valkyrie Brünnhilde may not be taking any early curtain calls on November 5.
Image credit: US News and World Report
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